Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.981785 3.316984 3.679663 4.102086 4.581640 5.110352 5.739055
2025-03-09 2.446991 2.887157 3.396967 4.034279 4.814077 5.742763 6.940850
2025-03-16 2.109273 2.598361 3.194050 3.979366 4.996897 6.283688 8.054757
2025-03-23 1.951041 2.491532 3.178241 4.125481 5.415050 7.133965 9.640267
2025-03-30 1.771632 2.329813 3.064002 4.115491 5.607651 7.687555 10.874881
2025-04-06 1.618146 2.182581 2.947650 4.080006 5.747029 8.165483 12.042482
2025-04-13 1.434895 1.975672 2.726873 3.869198 5.602927 8.203830 12.535590
2025-04-20 1.343239 1.888350 2.664641 3.878214 5.778788 8.730955 13.848853
2025-04-27 1.282624 1.839558 2.651950 3.956555 6.063489 9.450733 15.562902
2025-05-04 1.227712 1.793877 2.638455 4.029473 6.342391 10.185102 17.392798
2025-05-11 1.171191 1.740783 2.608202 4.070732 6.569659 10.851985 19.185526
2025-05-18 1.115688 1.684751 2.568161 4.090674 6.759622 11.469685 20.964709
2025-05-25 1.035181 1.585314 2.454061 3.981000 6.720243 11.684999 22.022066
2025-06-01 0.974926 1.514366 2.381088 3.935203 6.789861 12.107905 23.558621
2025-06-08 0.919533 1.447536 2.309854 3.885679 6.846281 12.509329 25.106612
2025-06-15 0.903417 1.444524 2.345307 4.028598 7.276795 13.688951 28.523520
2025-06-22 0.862405 1.396586 2.299850 4.019034 7.410638 14.284004 30.719093
2025-06-29 0.820668 1.344721 2.243800 3.984539 7.490544 14.773899 32.744708
2025-07-06 0.755828 1.248947 2.103797 3.779410 7.205190 14.451205 32.745739
2025-07-13 0.727763 1.216401 2.075556 3.788185 7.362392 15.112565 35.315486
2025-07-20 0.711162 1.203228 2.081592 3.864423 7.668632 16.143230 39.022075
2025-07-27 0.694716 1.189273 2.085060 3.935377 7.969949 17.199048 42.994595
2025-08-03 0.675163 1.168427 2.074060 3.975523 8.206588 18.130229 46.798815